Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000069 0.000080 0.000091 0.000103 0.000117 0.000131 0.000147
2024-12-22 0.000055 0.000068 0.000084 0.000102 0.000123 0.000145 0.000173
2024-12-29 0.000045 0.000060 0.000079 0.000101 0.000127 0.000158 0.000194
2025-01-05 0.000038 0.000054 0.000074 0.000100 0.000131 0.000168 0.000214
2025-01-12 0.000031 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000132 0.000174 0.000228
2025-01-19 0.000026 0.000042 0.000063 0.000093 0.000131 0.000178 0.000239
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000037 0.000059 0.000090 0.000132 0.000183 0.000251
2025-02-02 0.000020 0.000036 0.000059 0.000093 0.000138 0.000196 0.000273
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000033 0.000057 0.000092 0.000141 0.000204 0.000289
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000033 0.000059 0.000097 0.000151 0.000221 0.000317
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000031 0.000057 0.000097 0.000154 0.000229 0.000332
2025-03-02 0.000012 0.000028 0.000054 0.000095 0.000154 0.000233 0.000343
2025-03-09 0.000011 0.000026 0.000052 0.000095 0.000158 0.000243 0.000364
2025-03-16 0.000009 0.000024 0.000050 0.000093 0.000159 0.000251 0.000381
2025-03-23 0.000007 0.000022 0.000048 0.000092 0.000162 0.000259 0.000400
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000020 0.000045 0.000091 0.000164 0.000267 0.000417
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000017 0.000042 0.000089 0.000163 0.000271 0.000430
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000085 0.000161 0.000272 0.000438
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000082 0.000160 0.000275 0.000450
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000085 0.000167 0.000290 0.000478
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000012 0.000036 0.000084 0.000169 0.000298 0.000496
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000012 0.000037 0.000089 0.000180 0.000319 0.000533
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000089 0.000182 0.000327 0.000552